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October 28, 2019

Welcome to the LSAT Casino

Welcome to the LSAT Casino

When talking about the LSAT, and particularly when examining test results, I like to analogize the LSAT to a casino. Yes, there is the chance that you can go into the test and lose your shirt score-wise. However, what I’m really referring to is the somewhat random nature of the questions you encounter on the LSAT and how that can dramatically affect test takers.

The Test is a Gamble

The LSAT is a standardized test. While that means certain elements are consistently tested, norming protocols are used, and the test is administered in a similar way each time, the exact content of the LSAT varies from test to test. Of course, every student already knows this. Once you’ve seen a question on the LSAT, you won’t see that question again. What is more important is how the emphasis on each concept changes from test to test.

For example, two Logical Reasoning sections of the October 2012 LSAT contain conditional reasoning on 12 of the 50 questions. But, the LR sections of the December 2012 LSAT contained conditional reasoning in only 8 of 50 questions. This is where the casino effect comes in. If you are good at conditional reasoning, you want to see a test with more SN. But whether or not you get that is almost wholly up to chance. Sure, you’ll see some conditional reasoning on every LSAT, but certain LSATs emphasize those ideas far more than other LSATs. Get the test that is right for you and it can pay off big time.

This variance in concept testing isn’t limited to just Logical Reasoning, or conditional reasoning, of course. In Logic Games, some LSATs test Linear ideas more than Grouping, and on other LSATs that situation is reversed. While that may seem innocent enough, depending on your strengths and weaknesses it can have a significant impact on your final score. This is the essence of the LSAT casino. When you walk into an LSAT administration, you are placing your chips on the hope that the test will break right for you and play to your strengths. You can’t control that outcome any more than you can control a roulette wheel. But, as in a casino, some people come out big winners and others don’t.

But You Still Have Control

However, don’t take this to mean that the entire test is chance and you have no control over your results. The composition of each LSAT is out of your control. What is within your control is the strengths and weaknesses you have. You can fix and improve these. If you know you have a weakness in, say, Grouping games. To offset the casino effect, work as hard as possible on them in order to eliminate that weakness. The ultimate goal is to be a player who has no weaknesses. In other words, you need to be a gambler who is good at every game in the casino. Don’t feel confident finding and improving your weaknesses on your own? Consider hiring a tutor that can design a study plan that targets your weaknesses.

There is another benefit of understanding the LSAT casino concept. Examining your practice test scores and understanding why your scores move up or down from test to test is important. Some students take several practice tests in a short period and are stumped at why scores varied across tests. Sure, that sometimes occurs because you run into a difficult section or Logic Game. But it also occurs because the casino effect is in play. Some tests are simply better for you, resulting in a higher score. Others will unfortunately be worse… and we all know what that means.

In the end, when you see a slight score drop on a single test after you’ve been practicing for a while, take it in stride and realize that perhaps you were dealt a bad hand at the LSAT table. Regroup and work on the areas that troubled you. Hopefully when it comes time for the real thing, you will walk out a big winner.

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Posted by Dave Killoran / Studying / LSAT Prep, Mentality 1 Comment

  • Nick
    July 06, 2017 at 5:27pm

    I am starting to think the June 2017 LSAT exam may have been a ‘casino’ for me. I got just a 162, 7-8 points below my final 3-4 PrepTests and also close to my starting baseline LSAT score. However, most people seem to have found the June 2017 easy judging by the curve. The signcantly lower performance stemmed mainly from getting -5 wrong on LR when I averaged -2.5 per LR section and I got an additional 1-3 questions wrong on LG+RC than my usual PrepTests. Do you think there was anything particular about the June 2017 LSAT Exam that made it different/ hard for some like an inordinate focus on certain concepts? So far, on review, it still seems like a normal exam for me but some harder than usual questions

  • Dave Killoran
    July 07, 2017 at 3:09pm

    Hey nick,

    Thanks for the message and I’m sorry to hear this test wasn’t a good one for you. The good news is that next test is a whole new spin of the roulette wheel, and from the looks of it, likely to yield a much better testing experience for you.

    I’ve yet to do a really deep dive into this exam since I’ve been talking with students since the test came out, but I know from doing it that in LR there are a lot of Must Be True and Flaw questions, and fewer Strengthen questions than normal. It could be that this alignment wasn’t great for your particular strengths and weaknesses. I also feel like there were some sly, tricky wordings in there, and that readers not reading carefully could miss key points rather easily. They hid a few things well, and at your level, just a few of those with this tight scale spells doom. That matches your difficulty assessment, and surely played a role for you.

    Here’s what I’d do: shake this one off. It happened, but it’s just one test. Take the September LSAT, and just keep on studying and getting better. Get even more familiar with how they work, and look to become as consistent as possible. Review relentlessly, and then go back in and nail it. That will erase the memory of this one, and put you back where you should be.

    Please let me know if this helps. Thanks!

Comments

  1. Tinn says

    December 11, 2024 at 8:24 am

    Insightful blog! Keep up the good work!

    Reply

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