Flaws in LSAT Logical Reasoning: Time Shift Errors

    LSAT Prep | LSAT Logical Reasoning

    [Read Part 1 , Part 2 , Part 3 , Part 4 , Part 5 , Part 6 , Part 7 , Part 8 , and Part 9 of this series here.]
    Logical Reasoning BibleBefore we continue with the Tenth and final chapter of our examination of common flaws found in LR questions on the LSAT, let’s once again take a brief moment to review why it’s so important to understand these argumentative errors. Here’s how I began the first post in this series, where we looked at Source Arguments:

    Considering the vast majority of LSAT Logical Reasoning questions will have an argument in their stimulus, and the vast majority of those arguments will contain some sort of flawed reasoning, I thought I would take a moment to address a variety of the flaws that tend to appear with some frequency. In a series of posts I’ll examine a number of common mistakes that authors on the test make, which should prove useful for both Flaw in the Reasoning questions (a type that accounts for about 15% of all LR questions), as well as other question types that require you to respond to argumentation.

    With that in mind, let’s turn our attention to another interesting, and hopefully recognizable, mistake that author’s on the LSAT make with considerable frequency: Time Shift Errors. Essentially this flaw occurs when an author assumes that conditions or circumstances will remain constant over time, so that what was true in the past is presumed to also apply to the present or future. I say this is a “recognizable” mistake because it always involves a comparison or relationship being drawn between past events/situations and events occurring now or in the future, and often vast stretches of time are involved. As I often explain to students, “the key assumption in using the past to make predictions is constancy: circumstances must be the same if we want to expect similar, or predictable, results.”

    Let’s take a look at two examples of increasing difficulty:              

    “Every patient thus far diagnosed with disease X has exhibited no impairment of respiratory function. So there is no need for doctors to continue testing patients with disease X for respiratory well-being.”

    This is a classic case of presuming that what has thus far been the case (no respiratory impairment) will continue to be the case moving forward (no need to continue to test for it), when there is simply no way to know with certainty what might happen in the future. Admittedly this example is pretty straightforward, so let’s examine a more complex version of this error:

    “Recent studies of the Southern Greenland Field Mouse have shown that its diet consists exclusively of a local shrub known as ‘flat bush.’ And since the fossil record tells us that this species of mouse inhabited this area as far back as 8,000 years ago, we have a very good idea of at least one type of vegetation that was also present during that time.”

    Consider the assumption in the above argument: just because this species of mouse only eats one type of plant today, when it lived here 8,000 years ago its diet was the same (that same "vegetation" was present). Does that have to be true? Of course not. It’s entirely possible that the mouse’s diet has changed over such a large stretch of time, so it is a flaw to conclude that current events are representative of events in the distant past.

    Here’s how this type of error would likely be represented in an answer choice:

    “uncritically draws an inference from what has been true in the past to what will be true in the future”

    “treats a claim about what is currently the case as is if it were a claim about what has been the case for an extended period”

    So be sure to keep an eye out for arguments where a shift in time has occurred, particularly if the time span is hundreds or even thousands of years, and see if the author is attempting to draw conclusions by assuming that conditions are the same despite their temporal separation. It should be fairly obvious when this occurs, and you can then quickly scan the answer choices to find the one representing this mistake.

     

    Be sure to review the other posts addressing a wide variety of common flaws you are likely to encounter on test day. Commit them all to memory and you’ll find yourself well prepared to respond to nearly any argument you come across.